Here is a look at my ridiculously early team ratings. For newbies to this blog, please review how these ratings are calculated here. I have presented the ratings in two flavors, the typical strength of schedule adjusted version and a raw, unadjusted version. A few comments:
- Obviously, these numbers come with a HUGE sample size caveat. Four games is not nearly enough time to determine club quality, especially when outliers are involved (e.g., Newcastle at the Ethiad in week one).
- Interesting to see that the expected top seven have already established themselves above the pack. While positions have changed among the group, the elite are the same as they were last season.
- Stoke’s attack rating is probably the biggest surprise of the season. Those numbers include games against Liverpool and Manchester City as well as a trip to West Ham. That is a very difficult start and their relative offensive performance has been impressive. Could Jonathan Walters et al. become legit fantasy options this season? I, for one, will be watching.
- Fulham and Sunderland have clearly performed the worst of any teams so far. Neither have played a tough schedule yet each have awful underlying numbers. Both look like relegation candidates unless improvements occur soon.
- Newcastle has been superb since the opening calamity against City. Since then, they have outshot their opponents 57 to 19, hitting the target over four times as much as the opposition.
- Crystal Palace’s defense has been unexpectedly good. Yes, they were dominated at Man U., but they have held their own in all other games. This is shocking given their shot totals in the Championship last season. I am chalking this one up to an early season anomaly, although time will tell.
That’s all for now. I will post these on an ongoing basis each week moving forward. Enjoy!